Analysis needed! I played the 10am tournament at the Crazy Moose yesterday. The blinds had just gone up to 25-50 so we had only been playing just over 20 minutes when this hand came up.
There were about 6 limpers. I was on the button and looked down at 2 red kings. I correctly decide that I need to narrow the field so I raise 8 times the big blind to 400. That got rid of 4 limpers, leaving Hispanic Tony (who calls me every time) and some new guy I've never played with.
The flop is 2-4-8 and is checked to me. What does the Queen of Stupid do? Why of course she goes all-in. I wanted to win the pot right there damn it. Hispanic Tony folds immediately and New Guy calls instantly, thus allowing me to know that he has flopped a set and I am screwed.
Yes, indeed. He has pocket 4s. Naturally, I talk to myself all the way home as I am the 1st or 2nd person knocked out of the tournament. (I saw Joe leaving at about the same time.) Why didn't I just check? Because I didn't want to see any aces on the turn, that's why. Could I have gotten away from a large bet by New Guy on the turn or river? I don't know. Personally, I would have folded 44 pre-flop to a raise of 8 times the big blind, but hey that's just me.
What do you think oh faithful reader? Your thoughts are appreciated.
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1 comment:
I think you played the hand perfectly. You never want a crowd with big pairs. It was an idiot call by 4's as they are at best a coin flip and you were a huge favorite against his 2 outer. On the one hand you gotta love the action, but when they get lucky it feels wrong. I think you could have bet about a half pot on the flop to see what the action was. That size bet would discourage most aces from chasing, yet still leave you some chips (I am guessing) if you get check raised. Bet sizing is a big deal when you play at Pendleton. Bets of 2.5 times the BB are more or less the norm. Think about what your bet sizing does for you on pot commitment. Sometimes you can elicit the fold you want with a smaller bet and not get "married" to the pot or your hand. The hardest thing to do is laying down a premium hand cause they come so seldom. Yet, you must do this to be successful. Bad players will not be able to do this, nor will they fold small pairs when faced with big bets from a player in position.
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